Link: A critique of two contrasting research papers on AI's impact on US employment trends, along with caveats from a Stanford study on jobs in AI-exposed fields (Noah Smith/Noahpinion)

The ongoing debate about whether AI is replacing jobs hinges on the impact it has on employment trends. Recent discussions focus on how new AI technologies might be affecting job opportunities, particularly for recent college graduates.

Derek Thompson highlighted concerns about a slowdown in employment among new grads possibly due to AI.

However, data from researchers like Sarah Eckhardt and Nathan Goldschlag suggest that AI's impact on job markets is currently minimal.

Eckhardt and Goldschlag analyzed multiple job exposure indicators to AI and found negligible differences in employment rates.

While two other indicators showed a slight variation, the overall effect of AI on jobs is still small.

Erik Brynjolfsson and his colleagues conversely noted a significant decline in employment for early-career workers in AI-heavy sectors.

Despite overall employment growth, young workers in these sectors face more challenges compared to their older counterparts.

Doubts persist about why AI's impact is seemingly selective, affecting only younger workers, and the debate remains unresolved.

The interplay between AI and different age groups in the workforce continues to fuel discussions on the future of employment. #

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